The 2026 Megalabowl: My Guy Bumps, The Onesie Positions, and Maximizing Scoring (Fantasy Football)

*HEAVY BREATHING*

“MEH…..MEGA……MEGALAAAAABOOOOOOOOOWWWWWL” – Jason Moore

The Megalabowl is here. After months of mock drafts, watching ADPs rise and fall, reacting to practice reports and arguing about My Guys, and losing sleep over the best sleeper picks, over 17,000 FootClan members are about to enter a winner-take-all tournament for the coveted Listener League spot and FootClan immortality.  

For the last two months, I have been hosting live mock drafts for our FootClan 4 FootClan events in the Ballers Discord Server. We have had hundreds of draft spots filled by real FootClan members in preparation for the Megalabowl. Huge shout-out to Ray Smith, commissioner and creator of the Megalabowl, as we have collected the data and found some actionable trends to highlight.

Before we get to the My Guy Bump, past trends at the onesies, and scoring advantages, we need to talk about something important.  

The Megalabowl is a tournament hosted by the Fantasy Footballers.  

“But Mike, why does that matter?”

Well, I’m glad you asked, Voice of Public Opinion. This means that you are drafting with like-minded people; people who are listening to the same advice you are, are likely forming similar opinions, and many have the UDK. That means My Guys tend to go at a premium, the onesie positions move differently, and, most importantly, your league mates are not informed by a magazine they picked up in May.

So without further ado, let’s look at some data and crush some drafts this weekend.  

The My Guy Bump

We did dozens of drafts this offseason, resulting in the following chart.
Please note, the raw numbers have been transposed to ADP, so there are minor differences in the numbers that do not affect anything substantive.  

		PRE MY GUYS				POST MY GUYS
Jason’s		FootClan ADP	Sleeper ADP	Relative +/-		FootClan ADP	Sleeper ADP	Relative +/-	My Guy Bump
Garrett Wilson		4.02	4.09	7		3.02	4.09	19	12
Carnell Tate		5.11	6.08	9		5.12	6.08	-1	-1
Omarion Hampton		2.01	2.04	3		1.12	2.04	4	1
Mike’s		FootClan ADP	Sleeper ADP	Relative +/-		FootClan ADP	Sleeper ADP	Relative +/-	My Guy Bump
Christian Watson		6.02	6.05	3		5.12	6.05	5	2
Colston Loveland		4.06	4.07	1		4.06	4.07	1	0
Kenneth Walker		2.05	2.05	0		2.03	2.05	2	2
Andy’s		FootClan ADP	Sleeper ADP	Relative +/-		FootClan ADP	Sleeper ADP	Relative +/-	My Guy Bump
Ladd McConkey		4.02	3.11	-3		3.10	3.11	1	4
De’Zhaun Stribling		11.06	10.08	-9		8.06	10.08	23	32
Caleb Williams		9.01	7.02	-23		8.11	7.02	-20	3

There are varying degrees of My Guy bumps here. On the small side, Loveland is unmoved; Hampton, Walker, and Watson have a moderate bump, and Tate actually goes one pick later in our FootClan mocks. I think there are a myriad of reasons for the small bumps: a “poor” preseason for Tate, historical questions about health and usage for Watson, and the RBs already being high.  

These small changes are likely more a credit to the FootClan paying more attention in the offseason. Our offseason mocks were largely participated in by the die-hards in the Discord server that keep that thing poppin’ year-round. Shout out to you. You are the real ones.  

Let’s zoom in on three swings of ADP. The case for Garrett Wilson was strong. The FootClan was already drafting him seven spots above ADP, and that climbed to a full round after the My Guy episode. If you want to get Wilson, you will probably have to grab him early.  

De’Zhaun Stribling’s offseason has been a fun one to watch. From confusion at him being drafted at 22, to John Lynch’s historically terrible drafting, Stribling has gone from the offseason ugly duckling to a beautiful swan. Before the My Guys episode, he was being drafted nine spots behind ADP by the FootClan. Between him being a healthy skill position player younger than 30, seemingly surviving the electrical substation, and Andy’s endorsement, he has been on a rocket ship with the FootClan drafting him 32 spots earlier than they were in July and early August. If you want to get in the Strib club, you are going to have to draft him 2 rounds above ADP.  

The last noteworthy one is minor but important. Ladd McConkey joins Stribling as the only guy whose My Guy bump went from behind ADP to ahead of ADP. It is not as dramatic as Stribling’s – which is to be expected with their starting ADPs – but it does note the tier jump Ladd has taken in the Baller’s UDK rankings. If you are going to want to take Ladd, you will have to get in front of ADP, rather than behind like earlier this offseason.  

Caleb Williams comes in at an interesting spot. He was drafted about two rounds behind ADP and still hangs out on the eight-nine turn after the My Guy bump. This made me think about the onesie positions in the Megalabowl and the Ballers being elite QB/TE (onesie) or punt the position. I found some interesting data for you.

Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images

QBs and TEs in the Megalabowl

Last year Ray wrote this article, and I still did the mock drafts. When you compare the 2025 Mock Drafts against the 2025 Megalabowl, some interesting figures pop up. it is noteworthy that the numbers for the 2025 Megalabowl are actual for the whole Megalabowl.  

• In 2025 FootClan Mock Drafts, QBs were taken an average of 22 picks behind ADP. The actual 2025 Megalabowl average was 15 picks behind ADP. 
• In 2025 FootClan Mock Drafts, TEs were taken 7.5 picks ahead of ADP. The actual 2025 Megalabowl average was seven picks ahead of ADP.  
• In our 2026 FootClan Mock Drafts, QBs were taken an average of only 16 picks behind ADP. And in the same mock drafts, TEs were taken 12 picks behind ADP.  

So pay attention in your drafts, especially to your breakpoints in the tiers. The TEs had a massive swing between 2025 actual ADP and 2026 Mock drafts. If I had to venture a guess, both QBs and TEs will feel early in the Megalabowl. 

Scoring

The Megalabowl scoring gives .1 per carry (ppc). This means that a player who averages 20 carries a game over 17 games in a season would end the season with 34 more points from carries alone. This disproportionately benefits RBs with locked-in workloads.  

When building our rosters for the Megalabowl, this matters when building out positional advantages across a roster. Most of the high-workload RBs – specifically ones to get carries, not touches – go early in the draft. High-carry backs get elevated and are hard to find later in drafts when we go early WRs and early onesies. I am less interested in raw points than I am in how much better a player is than the other guys you can get at their position. 

When comparing positional advantages in the 2025 Megalabowl, eight of the top 10, 12 of the top 15, and 15 of the top 20 players ranked by positional advantage were RBs.  This does not mean they scored the most points; it means there was a larger gap between the top talent at the RB position and what you could get later in the draft. Conversely, in the later rounds, there are more WRs who have a positive positional advantage than RBs.  

Take Josh Allen, for example. He scored almost 29 points a game last year in the Megalabowl.  That is a gaudy raw number. But relative to the other QBs, he ranked only 24th in positional advantage.  

I am not saying that you should go RB-RB-RB no matter what, but it is important to note early in the draft where you can get guys with elite workloads. When drafting RBs early in the Megalabowl, you’re getting access to what can be scarce later in the draft: high-volume RBs.

As I look at guys at ADP, I have noticed that I tend to like my drafts more when I target RBs earlier in the draft, WRs in the middle of the draft, and catch up at QB and TE later in the draft. I have let elite RB workloads be the deciding factor in the early rounds of our offseason mock drafts, and I tend to like those drafts more.  

So what would I do with this? I would use it as a deciding factor. Obviously, if an elite player falls behind ADP, then stay water and pick them up, but when building out your team, keep an eye on RB carries. I am using it as a tiebreaker even in the later rounds of my Megalabowl drafts when choosing Rico Dowdle over Jaylen Warren or targeting handcuffs like Jonah Coleman.  

 

Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

One Final Encouragement

This is all a lot of data. Maybe you have mock drafted a ton, or you are reading this 15 minutes before your first draft of 2026; remember to have fun and keep the right perspective. This is a massive tournament with a ton of variance. Getting a good start at the draft is important, but being savvy in the season is also important.  

So stay plugged in to the Fantasy Footballers, join the Discord, and bask in the glory of the 2025 Megalabowl Champion’s winning roster. 

from Fantasy Footballers Podcast https://ift.tt/vog7tna