Targets Per Route Run: Week 12 (Fantasy Football)

Welcome back to the weekly Targets Per Route Run Report, and thanks for making it part of your weekly prep. Let’s look back at the games just played and see where that points us for Week 11 and beyond.

You don’t need me to tell you Week 11 was a bloodbath for the fantasy football world. But as a wise mentor once said to a top-5 pick who had experienced some career setbacks:

Quick refresher: TPRR = targets ÷ routes run. It’s an on-field efficiency signal that often leads production by a week or two. Throughout this series, if you see a percentage after a player’s name, that is his TPRR unless otherwise indicated.

As a general guideline, ~20% is considered a baseline; 25–30% is excellent, and anything above 30% is elite territory.

Week 11 TPRR Leaders

Data: pff.com

Takeaways For Week 12

• “Wilsoooooooon!” – Tom Hanks watching the Cardinals in Week 11, probably. Michael Wilson more than made up for Marvin Harrison‘s absence against the 49ers, finishing with a fantasy day better than anything Harrison has done to this point in his career. Yes, it’s true. There is a non-zero chance Harrison suits up in Week 12, but it seems more likely Michael Wilson will get another week as the top WR in this offense. I am not expecting a similar game script against Jacksonville’s defense, but the ingredients are there. If Harrison sits, Wilson is in my top 20 for the week. Just do not forget Trey McBride still exists (more on that below).
• “It ain’t much, but it’s honest work.” Xavier Legette (25% TPRR) and Tetairoa McMillan (20% TPRR) both had big games against Atlanta and dominated the targets along with Rico Dowdle (19 attempts, six targets). Now, Legette is nursing a hip injury sustained in the overtime win and only played 55% of offensive snaps, but he has said he’s planning to play through it. I’m looking for more of the same for the Panthers’ #2 receiving weapon against a 49ers defense that just gave up the farm (which Legette probably loves) to the aforementioned Arizona Cardinals.
• “Not great, Bob.” Quentin Johnston and the Chargers offense were emblematic of the week. Despite starting the season on a tear, Quuje has been terribly inconsistent lately. As in, you-can’t-start-him inconsistent. He’s the WR60 since Week 5, and his 7% TPRR is his third single-digit mark in the last five games. Since

The Season So Far

• We do not often focus on TEs, but their target share and routes are huge pieces of the puzzle we’re looking at each week. Dalton Kincaid, when healthy, has filled in the missing top receiver for Josh Allen. Jake Ferguson is having the season we thought he was going to have in 2024.  Tyler Warren and  Harold Fannin Jr. are legit talents. We already know about Brock Bowers. And Trey McBride is a monster. According to Pro Football Focus, McBride is tied with Ladd McConkey for the most routes run this season –  as a TE. What most of these teams have in common is the lack of a true alpha receiver.

• Rashid Shaheed has been getting his sea(hawk) legs, so I’ve been hesitant to ding him for a recent dip in his TPRR. The emergence of AJ Barner (yes, another TE) could render him droppable in leagues, but I’m curious how Shaheed fares against a Titans defense that should at least try to get a handle on Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
• More sad news. Xavier Worthy has been invisible since Rashee Rice returned to the Chiefs and hasn’t posted a TPRR above 21% in that span. There’s always a chance for a TD when it’s Patrick Mahomes slinging it around, but Worthy is on my bench and a step closer to waivers with each passing week.

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TPRR – The Full Lists

Week 11 Targets Per Route Run – WR – Min 15 routes
Rank	Player	Team	Routes	Targets	TPRR
1	George Pickens	DAL	28	11	39.3%
2	A.J. Brown	PHI	31	12	38.7%
3	Puka Nacua	LA	21	8	38.1%
4	Michael Wilson	ARZ	48	18	37.5%
5	Stefon Diggs	NE	33	11	33.3%
6	Drake London	ATL	28	9	32.1%
7	Romeo Doubs	GB	22	7	31.8%
8	Joshua Palmer	BUF	16	5	31.3%
9	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	20	6	30.0%
10	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	37	11	29.7%
11	Jaylen Waddle	MIA	24	7	29.2%
12	Wan’Dale Robinson	NYG	31	9	29.0%
13	Adonai Mitchell	NYJ	21	6	28.6%
14	Justin Jefferson	MIN	32	9	28.1%
15	Deebo Samuel	WAS	29	8	27.6%
16	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	44	12	27.3%
17	Gabe Davis	BUF	15	4	26.7%
18	Davante Adams	LA	27	7	25.9%
18	Jayden Higgins	HST	27	7	25.9%
20	Rashee Rice	KC	35	9	25.7%
20	Emeka Egbuka	TB	35	9	25.7%
22	Xavier Legette	CAR	32	8	25.0%
22	Jauan Jennings	SF	24	6	25.0%
22	Tim Patrick	JAX	16	4	25.0%
25	Troy Franklin	DEN	33	8	24.2%
25	D.K. Metcalf	PIT	33	8	24.2%
27	Isaiah Hodgins	NYG	25	6	24.0%
28	Nico Collins	HST	42	10	23.8%
29	Jerry Jeudy	CLV	30	7	23.3%
29	Darnell Mooney	ATL	30	7	23.3%
31	Luther Burden III	CHI	22	5	22.7%
32	Pat Bryant	DEN	27	6	22.2%
33	Ja’Marr Chase	CIN	41	9	22.0%
34	Jordan Addison	MIN	32	7	21.9%
35	Rome Odunze	CHI	28	6	21.4%
36	Marquise Brown	KC	19	4	21.1%
37	Christian Watson	GB	24	5	20.8%
37	Xavier Hutchinson	HST	24	5	20.8%
37	Keenan Allen	LAC	24	5	20.8%
40	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	49	10	20.4%
41	Demario Douglas	NE	15	3	20.0%
42	Tee Higgins	CIN	41	8	19.5%
43	Ladd McConkey	LAC	21	4	19.0%
44	Cooper Kupp	SEA	37	7	18.9%
45	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	32	6	18.8%
46	DeAndre Hopkins	BLT	22	4	18.2%
47	Curtis Samuel	BUF	17	3	17.6%
48	Zay Flowers	BLT	29	5	17.2%
49	Tre Tucker	LV	47	8	17.0%
50	Sterling Shepard	TB	30	5	16.7%
50	Malik Washington	MIA	18	3	16.7%
52	Mack Hollins	NE	31	5	16.1%
53	Jameson Williams	DET	38	6	15.8%
54	DeVonta Smith	PHI	32	5	15.6%
55	Courtland Sutton	DEN	39	6	15.4%
55	Christian Kirk	HST	26	4	15.4%
55	Cedric Tillman	CLV	26	4	15.4%
55	Jalin Hyatt	NYG	26	4	15.4%
59	Greg Dortch	ARZ	40	6	15.0%
59	Van Jefferson	TEN	40	6	15.0%
61	Chris Moore	WAS	27	4	14.8%
62	Xavier Worthy	KC	36	5	13.9%
62	Elic Ayomanor	TEN	36	5	13.9%
64	Tyler Lockett	LV	22	3	13.6%
64	Khalil Shakir	BUF	22	3	13.6%
66	Tyquan Thornton	KC	15	2	13.3%
67	Andrei Iosivas	CIN	31	4	12.9%
68	John Metchie III	NYJ	24	3	12.5%
69	Rashid Shaheed	SEA	34	4	11.8%
69	Jahan Dotson	PHI	17	2	11.8%
69	Dontayvion Wicks	GB	17	2	11.8%
72	Mason Kinsey	TEN	27	3	11.1%
73	Kyle Williams	NE	29	3	10.3%
74	Jalen Coker	CAR	39	4	10.3%
75	DJ Moore	CHI	30	3	10.0%
76	Roman Wilson	PIT	21	2	9.5%
77	Parker Washington	JAX	22	2	9.1%
78	Tez Johnson	TB	34	3	8.8%
79	Ricky Pearsall	SF	23	2	8.7%
80	Isaiah Williams	NYJ	25	2	8.0%
81	Quentin Johnston	LAC	28	2	7.1%
82	Xavier Weaver	ARZ	43	3	7.0%
83	Jordan Whittington	LA	16	1	6.3%
83	Isaiah Bond	CLV	16	1	6.3%
85	Tre Harris	LAC	17	1	5.9%
85	Isaac TeSlaa	DET	17	1	5.9%
87	Jalen Nailor	MIN	20	1	5.0%
88	David Sills V	ATL	21	1	4.8%

Season To Date

Targets Per Route Run – Through Week 11 (Min 150 routes)
Rank	Player	Team	Routes	Targets	TPRR	+ /-
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	270	94	34.8%	0
2	Puka Nacua	LA	246	85	34.6%	0
3	Ja’Marr Chase	CIN	391	115	29.4%	0
4	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	315	91	28.9%	0
5	Drake London	ATL	305	86	28.2%	0
6	Davante Adams	LA	309	84	27.2%	0
7	Nico Collins	HST	305	79	25.9%	1
8	Keenan Allen	LAC	319	82	25.7%	1
9	Justin Jefferson	MIN	362	93	25.7%	1
10	Chris Olave	NO	358	91	25.4%	1
11	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	234	59	25.2%	-4
12	Stefon Diggs	NE	283	71	25.1%	2
13	Emeka Egbuka	TB	343	83	24.2%	0
14	Zay Flowers	BLT	290	70	24.1%	-2
15	Deebo Samuel	WAS	279	67	24.0%	1
16	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	225	54	24.0%	-2
17	Jaylen Waddle	MIA	308	72	23.4%	2
18	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	376	86	22.9%	-1
19	Troy Franklin	DEN	342	78	22.8%	2
20	Josh Downs	IND	211	48	22.7%	0
21	A.J. Brown	PHI	288	64	22.2%	13
22	Khalil Shakir	BUF	266	59	22.2%	-4
23	Romeo Doubs	GB	285	63	22.1%	5
24	Wan’Dale Robinson	NYG	383	84	21.9%	3
25	Calvin Ridley	TEN	160	35	21.9%	1
26	Olamide Zaccheaus	CHI	222	48	21.6%	-4
27	George Pickens	DAL	372	80	21.5%	9
28	Michael Pittman Jr.	IND	322	69	21.4%	-3
29	Marquise Brown	KC	260	55	21.2%	0
30	DeVonta Smith	PHI	323	68	21.1%	-6
31	Rome Odunze	CHI	344	72	20.9%	-1
32	Rashid Shaheed	SEA	341	71	20.8%	-9
33	Brian Thomas Jr.	JAX	286	59	20.6%	-2
34	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	279	57	20.4%	7
35	D.K. Metcalf	PIT	315	64	20.3%	3
36	Jauan Jennings	SF	271	55	20.3%	4
37	Ladd McConkey	LAC	399	80	20.1%	-2
38	Keon Coleman	BUF	252	50	19.8%	1
39	Parker Washington	JAX	246	48	19.5%	-7
40	Demario Douglas	NE	165	32	19.4%	3
41	Xavier Worthy	KC	233	45	19.3%	-8
42	Alec Pierce	IND	260	50	19.2%	2
42	Christian Kirk	HST	156	30	19.2%	#N/A
44	Travis Hunter	JAX	225	43	19.1%	1
45	Jerry Jeudy	CLV	372	71	19.1%	2
46	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARZ	322	61	18.9%	0
47	Marvin Mims Jr.	DEN	174	32	18.4%	-10
48	Dyami Brown	JAX	198	36	18.2%	2
49	Malik Washington	MIA	248	45	18.1%	0
50	Ricky Pearsall	SF	166	30	18.1%	-8
51	Chimere Dike	TEN	194	35	18.0%	2
52	Courtland Sutton	DEN	398	71	17.8%	-1
53	Dontayvion Wicks	GB	157	28	17.8%	-5
54	Calvin Austin III	PIT	200	35	17.5%	-2
55	Jordan Addison	MIN	269	47	17.5%	1
56	Tee Higgins	CIN	369	64	17.3%	-1
57	Cooper Kupp	SEA	228	39	17.1%	1
58	Elic Ayomanor	TEN	328	56	17.1%	-4
59	Jaylin Lane	WAS	173	29	16.8%	-2
60	Jayden Higgins	HST	210	35	16.7%	8
61	Darnell Mooney	ATL	241	40	16.6%	4
62	Mack Hollins	NE	231	38	16.5%	-2
63	Quentin Johnston	LAC	369	59	16.0%	-4
64	Tre Tucker	LV	341	54	15.8%	0
65	Sterling Shepard	TB	289	45	15.6%	1
66	Matthew Golden	GB	200	31	15.5%	1
67	Xavier Legette	CAR	270	41	15.2%	11
68	Michael Wilson	ARZ	364	55	15.1%	20
69	Tez Johnson	TB	207	31	15.0%	-8
70	Kendrick Bourne	SF	275	41	14.9%	0
71	Van Jefferson	TEN	216	32	14.8%	2
72	Tyler Lockett	LV	203	30	14.8%	-1
73	Tyquan Thornton	KC	197	29	14.7%	-1
74	Jameson Williams	DET	320	47	14.7%	2
75	DJ Moore	CHI	321	47	14.6%	-6
76	Cedric Tillman	CLV	193	28	14.5%	1
77	Isaiah Bond	CLV	213	30	14.1%	-3
78	Demarcus Robinson	SF	150	21	14.0%	-3
79	Greg Dortch	ARZ	163	22	13.5%	#N/A
80	Kayshon Boutte	NE	231	31	13.4%	1
81	Josh Reynolds	NYJ	160	21	13.1%	1
82	Darius Slayton	NYG	254	33	13.0%	2
83	Jalen Nailor	MIN	271	35	12.9%	-4
84	Rashod Bateman	BLT	218	28	12.8%	1
85	Tre Harris	LAC	158	20	12.7%	-5
86	Xavier Hutchinson	HST	280	34	12.1%	3
87	JuJu Smith-Schuster	KC	239	29	12.1%	-4
88	Pat Bryant	DEN	185	22	11.9%	4
89	Jalen Tolbert	DAL	218	25	11.5%	1
90	Dont’e Thornton Jr.	LV	187	21	11.2%	-4
91	Kalif Raymond	DET	160	17	10.6%	-4
92	Andrei Iosivas	CIN	331	34	10.3%	1
93	Jordan Whittington	LA	173	17	9.8%	-2
94	Chris Moore	WAS	206	20	9.7%	5
95	Zay Jones	ARZ	173	16	9.2%	1
96	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	MIA	193	17	8.8%	2
97	Tyler Johnson	NYJ	154	13	8.4%	0
98	Brandin Cooks	NO	285	24	8.4%	2
99	Jahan Dotson	PHI	232	15	6.5%	2
100	David Sills V	ATL	160	8	5.0%	2
101	Arian Smith	NYJ	207	10	4.8%	2

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