![Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) hands off to Buffalo Bills running back James Cook III (4) during the first quarter in an NFL football AFC Wild Card playoff matchup, Sunday, Jan. 11, 2026, in Jacksonville, Fla. Bills lead 10-7 at the half over the Jaguars. [Doug Engle/Florida Times-Union]](https://s26212.pcdn.co/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/josh-allen-playoffs1-1024x532.jpg)
As fantasy managers enter offseason mode, it’s time to take a look back at the 2025 fantasy season and take an audit of exactly how effective players were for fantasy rosters. What better way to begin preparing for that next championship run than to really dig into the TRUTH of the players at each position and how they contributed to last year’s successes and failures?
Andy, Mike, and Jason have put pen to paper and are ready to walk through the top-10 fantasy QBs of the 2025 season!
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Quarterbacks Overview
The QB position has been an evolving one in the fantasy game for many years, with strategies about drafting the elite ones early or going “late round QB” to maximize value at other positions, but the truth is, every season really presents a different puzzle for the position, and 2025 was no different. Overall, QB scoring was down in 2025, especially on the high-end, with no QB finishing at 23+ fantasy points per game on the year. Since 2021, there has been at least one QB hit that mark on a per-game basis.
Part of the reason fantasy managers didn’t get the high-end payoff from QBs this year is due to how the real game of the NFL adjusts from season to season. In 2025, NFL games averaged almost two fewer offensive plays per game than in 2024 and saw the fewest total pass attempts since 2011. As a positive for fantasy QBs, players were scrambling more across the league, which really affects the game we play. This season, the QB scramble rate increased again to 5.5%, marking the 5th straight season that number hasn’t gone down.
For an even deeper dive into the statistics from the QB position in 2025, super nerd Kyle Borg put together his 10th annual version of stats for QBs from this season, which is worth a read.
Before we dive into our top-10 QBs, let’s review how the TRUTH algorithm translates to fantasy performances. Our numbers today will only correlate with Weeks 1-17, with Week 18 disregarded:
- Great Games = > 26 points
- Good Games = 21 – 25 points
- Meh Games = 16 – 20 points
- Bust Games = 15 points <
- Missed Games do not count against consistency score
1. Josh Allen | Bills
Age: 29.6 | ADP: 2.07/QB1
Consistency Rank: 1 | 1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 4
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 25% | 56% | 19% |
Starting at the top with Josh Allen, who wrapped up his fourth QB1 overall finish in six seasons. Allen paid off for fantasy managers who invested in him early in fantasy drafts this season, finishing as a top-8 QB eight total times this season, though he did put up some real stinkers throughout the year. Overall, though, Allen is that dude. In 2024, Allen was the first top-5 fantasy QB to hit that mark without a top-36 scoring WR or top-12 TE, AND HE DID IT AGAIN in 2025. Allen is currently the all-time leader in fantasy points per game at the QB position and leads all QBs in NFL history in rushing TDs.
Moving forward, fantasy managers will have to decide if they’re still willing to give up premium RB and WR draft capital to invest in Allen for 2026. While we aren’t really sure if any major changes will come to Buffalo since they are still alive in the playoffs, fantasy managers will want to see the Bills address a sub-par WR room to bolster Allen’s high-end potential in the passing game ahead of next season. In 2025, 21% of Allen’s passing attempts were behind the line of scrimmage, which is the highest of his career. If Buffalo doesn’t add a passing threat to open up the field for Allen, it won’t be the end of his fantasy reign, but it could certainly temper expectations for him to return to elite status again.
2. Drake Maye | Patriots
Age: 23.4 | ADP: 11.10/QB15
Consistency Rank: 4 | 1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half:23
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 24% | 53% | 6% |
The breakout at QB for 2025 easily goes to Drake Maye. Maye took a huge step forward for fantasy managers this season, finishing with the lowest bust rate of any QB in 2025, with just one game finishing below the 15-point mark. For the majority of the season, Maye was a reason that fantasy managers were winning weeks, with 12 top-12 QB finishes – the most of any QB in 2025. Maye finished first among QBs with 200+ dropbacks this season in completion percentage (72%), yards per attempt, passer rating, QB scrambles, and fantasy points per dropback against man coverage. Oh, and he’s 3rd in the league in passing TDs.
If Maye caps off his season by winning the league MVP, he would be the first QB to do so while having ZERO Pro Bowl teammates on offense. The supporting cast could be what is most interesting to watch with Maye heading into 2026, with no true elite receiving option around him. If the Patriots don’t add more weapons around Maye ahead of next season, the QB may fall victim to over-drafting, with him a likely candidate to be the QB2 off most boards behind Allen.
Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images
3. Matthew Stafford | Rams
Age: 37.9 | ADP: 18.06/QB24 (or Undrafted)
Consistency Rank: 2 | 1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 2
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 35% | 59% | 35% |
The other MVP candidate comes in at QB3 with a sensational season from Matthew Stafford in Los Angeles. Stafford brought even better value than a late-round QB since he was practically undrafted everywhere and turned into one of the most consistent QBs for fantasy this season, posting 26+ fantasy points in 35% of his games. Not only was Stafford consistent, but he gave fantasy managers the week-winning type of performances that really matter, finishing inside the top six nine different times this season – the most among all QBs. Stafford led all QBs in passing yards, passing TDs, TD rate (7.7%), and passing first downs this season while being a monster in the red zone with 46 passing TDs inside the 20.
What the future holds for Stafford is a big question mark. If the Rams finish their playoff run with a Super Bowl win, it very well could be the last we see of Stafford in the league. Even without getting to ride off into the sunset, Stafford will likely give retirement a hard look before committing to a 2026 season again with the Rams. If he does return, Stafford will come back to a great offense that sets him up for fantasy success again, but he will likely still be a late-round QB option that could bring great value for fantasy managers next year.
4. Trevor Lawrence | Jaguars
Age: 26.2 | ADP:16.11/QB21
Consistency Rank: 6 | 1st Half: 21 / 2nd Half: 1
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 18% | 41% | 29% |
After a slow start to the season with plenty of changes in Jacksonville, Trevor Lawrence’s final eight games of the year have pushed him into the top-end QB finish this year. Once the Jaguars got through their Week 8 bye week, Lawrence saw a 6.6 fantasy points per game increase and notched seven top-12 QB finishes down the stretch of the season. An element that was unlocked for Lawrence in fantasy that hadn’t been there in prior years was his work on the ground, where he finished with nine rushing TDs and a career-high 359 rushing yards. Lawrence became just the second QB to finish with 4000+ passing yards, 29+ passing TDs, and 9+ rushing TDs in a season. The other was Josh Allen in 2023.
The question to be answered after the Jaguars’ playoff exit in the Wildcard Round is: What is the real Trevor Lawrence going forward? Having a new Head Coach and play-caller in Liam Cohen makes a big difference for Lawrence’s fantasy success rolling over into 2026, but fantasy managers will have to decide if this type of production is something they can rely on to continue. After his best season of fantasy production, Lawrence’s draft price will be much higher than it was in 2025, so fantasy managers will likely have to pay up if they believe the QB can sustain this level of success going forward.
5. Dak Prescott | Cowboys
Age: 32.4 | ADP: 10.02/QB11
Consistency Rank: 5 | 1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 19% | 56% | 25% |
Another late-round value that helped fantasy managers was Dak Prescott in Dallas. Prescott finished 2025 with the highest number of “Good” games by the TRUTH Metric since 2019, hitting that mark 56% of the time. Dak is one of just three fantasy QBs this season who finished with 10 top-10 QB finishes – Matthew Stafford and Josh Allen were the other two. The problem with Dak this season wasn’t how often he was good; it was the huge dips in production when the Cowboys lost, averaging 11.3 fantasy points less. Still, Dak found a way to set career-highs in passing yards (4,552) and passing attempts (600) while leading the league in passing completions (404).
There is a chance Dak could be a late-round value again in 2026 with the Cowboys offense hopefully bringing the entire group back for another season. The wildcard in Dallas will be what the team does with WR George Pickens, who is a free agent but could get a Franchise Tag or long-term extension, though, in Jerry Jones fashion, it won’t come until the day before the season. Dak hasn’t strung together back-to-back top-10 QB finishes in his last six seasons, so if there are major changes to the personnel in Dallas, he may be in store for a down year come 2026.
Joseph Maiorana-Imagn Images
6. Caleb Williams | Bears
Age: 24.1 | ADP: 12.12/QB16
Consistency Rank: 10 | 1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 13
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 12% | 41% | 35% |
The promise that everyone saw in Caleb Williams when he was drafted as the first overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft is finally coming to light in his second season leading the Bears’ offense. Williams set the all-time passing yardage mark for the Bears under new Head Coach Ben Johnson, and was great for fantasy as well, with five games of 24+ fantasy points. On the flip side, Williams only completed 58% of his passes this season – the only QBs who finished with a worse rate were Shedeur Sanders and JJ McCarthy among QBs with 200+ dropbacks. Williams finished last in completion percentage vs zone coverage (60%) and under pressure (39%).
It’s likely that Williams can continue to make strides under Ben Johnson in Chicago, which could only raise his ceiling for fantasy purposes. The Bears should maintain the large number of weapons they’ve assembled around Williams in this offense that scored the ninth-most points in the league this season. For fantasy, the question becomes how much this successful 2025 season carries over into 2026 in fantasy managers’ minds, and what type of draft capital Williams will cost going forward.
7. Bo Nix | Broncos
Age: 25.8 | ADP: 7.02/QB8
Consistency Rank: 12 | 1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 18
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 12% | 29% | 35% |
It’s not often that fantasy QBs can return the EXACT value of where they were drafted, but Bo Nix hit the nail right on the head this season, finishing as the QB7 in his second season in Denver. Nix had an up-and-down season, with 33% of his fantasy points coming in just three of his games: Week 4 against Cincinnati, Week 7 against the Giants, and Week 15 against Green Bay. Nix maintained the nice rushing floor we saw during his rookie campaign, averaging 23 rushing yards per game, and tied for 3rd in 20+ air yard attempts among QBs with 200+ dropbacks. There are some concerns about Nix’s game, though. Nix finished 24th in completion percentage (63%) and 30th in “off-target” rate (18% of his throws). The intermediate area of the field wasn’t friendly to Nix either this season. Nix finished with a 75.9 passer rating in the intermediate area of the field. The only QBs who had a worse rating in that area were Geno Smith (73.4), Bryce Young (68.7), Cam Ward (68.5), and Shedeur Sanders (55.6).
Going forward, Nix should continue to be a decent fantasy option for fantasy rosters given his rushing baseline and the fact that he’s playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the league. The worry for Nix’s value will come based on whether or not he can live up to wherever he ends up being drafted in 2026. If Nix is drafted in the same range as he was in 2025, he may have a harder time returning that value again.
8. Jalen Hurts | Eagles
Age: 27.4 | ADP: 3.10/QB3
Consistency Rank: 8 | 1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 13% | 44% | 31% |
The first really disappointing name on the QB list is Jalen Hurts. Coming off a Super Bowl victory behind one of the better offenses for fantasy, Hurts was still drafted in the elite status that fantasy managers saw in 2022 and 2023 when he finished as the QB3 and QB2 overall. Hurts started 2025 playing red hot, averaging 22.2 fantasy points per game through his first eight games, but the back-end of the season saw the Eagles offense slow to a halt, dropping Hurts’ production 5.9 points per game from Weeks 9-17. Maybe the most glaring difference in Hurts’ fantasy production this season was the decrease in rushing production, where he not only posted his lowest rushing yard total as a full-time starter for the Eagles, but he saw the fewest carries inside the 5-yard line since 2021, with just 12.
A bounce-back season could be ahead for Hurts and the Eagles offense, but that may hinge on getting the right play-caller in the building. Hurts has shown that he can be an extremely productive QB given the right offensive environment, so a fresh face calling plays for Philadelphia could return him to elite status. The bigger concern will be if Hurts continues to go in the first three rounds in drafts ahead of the 2026, since he hasn’t returned on that value in a couple of years.
Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
9. Jared Goff | Lions
Age: 31.2 | ADP: 9.06/QB10
Consistency Rank: 11 | 1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 12
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 12% | 35% | 35% |
For the fourth-straight season, Jared Goff turned in a top-10 QB finish behind the Lions’ high-powered offense. The 2025 version of Goff wasn’t the consistent QB that finished as the QB6 last season, with just one top-12 QB finish in his first nine games, but he did redeem himself with five top-12 QB finishes from Weeks 10-16. Goff finished the season with the league’s best passer rating in the intermediate area of the field and had the highest number of throws in the league to the middle of the field.
While it’s likely no fantasy manager wants to really think about Goff if they played him in Week 17, where he finished with just 2.1 total fantasy points, the Lions QB should continue to be a solid streaming option, but may never return to the week-to-week start he was in the past. There will be a change at Offensive Coordinator in Detroit, so a new play-caller could reinvigorate Goff’s fantasy upside, especially with plenty of great weapons already on the team.
10. Justin Herbert | Chargers
Age: 27.8 | ADP: 10.04/QB12
Consistency Rank: 9 | 1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 10
| Great Games | Good Games | Bust Games |
| 25% | 31% | 50% |
Another disappointing end to the season for the Chargers reminds fantasy managers of Justin Herbert‘s underwhelming results in 2025. Herbert did his best to make the most of the injury-riddled offense in LA, with major injuries to the Chargers’ offensive line, along with rookie RB Omarion Hampton missing eight weeks during the season to an ankle injury. The wear and tear of the injuries can be seen in Herbert’s production for fantasy, where he averaged 7.5 points per game less on the back-half of the year. Herbert did well considering he was under pressure on 43% of his dropbacks this season, the first QB to lead the league in pressure rate and make the playoffs since 2018 (Deshaun Watson). That pressure did contribute to Herbert leading the league in QB rushing yards via scrambles (439) and second among all QBs in total rushing yards (498).
The offense in Los Angeles will look different in 2026 with the Chargers moving on from Greg Roman as Offensive Coordinator. With plenty of weapons already on the roster around him, Herbert should be a prime destination for a prospective play-caller to make his mark. If the Chargers can stay healthy, Herbert may again be an attractive name for fantasy managers looking for a late-round option come draft season in 2026.
from Fantasy Footballers Podcast https://ift.tt/bwARGzc
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January 15, 2026
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