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SuperFlex & 2QB Rankings for Week 13 (Fantasy Football)

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Nov 17, 2024; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Russell Wilson (3) throws a pass against the Baltimore Ravens during the first quarter at Acrisure Stadium.

Good morning FootClan!

I hope y’all had a wonderful and healthy Thanksgiving filled with family, football, and reminiscent neighborhood walks with your cousins. On behalf of the entire Ballers team, we are thankful for all of you as listeners and readers, and appreciate you more than you know.

The Turkey Day slate removed six potential QBs to choose from this week, but we’ll do our best to identify three players (outside the Ballers top 12) with QB1 upside this Thanksgiving week.

Player Highlighted Week 12 Ranking Week 12 Finish
Geno Smith 13 20
Anthony Richardson 14 21
CJ Stroud 16 11

Just as we all predicted, Cooper Rush posted his first QB1 performance in Week 12, marking the 37th different QB1 we have seen in 2024:

Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Anthony Richardson, Lamar Jackson, Derek Carr, Geno Smith, CJ Stroud, Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, Kyler Murray, Sam Darnold, Daniel Jones, Kirk Cousins, Joe Burrow, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy, Malik Willis, Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, Joe Flacco, Caleb Williams, Bo Nix, Trevor Lawrence, Drake Maye, Russell Wilson, Marcus Mariota, Justin Herbert, Jameis Winston, Patrick Mahomes, Will Levis, Cooper Rush

To reference the Week 13 QB Rankings, be sure to click here, and don’t forget to check for updates before kickoff! And as a reminder—just because you’re out of the playoffs doesn’t mean your season has to end. The Ultimate DFS Pass is now 50% off, which is something we can all be thankful for! Now, let’s get down to business.

16. Matthew Stafford

Since the return of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, Matthew Stafford is QB10 in PPG. The Rams have diverged from their run-heavy ways, with Stafford averaging 37.4 attempts, 281.6 passing yards, and converting a 12:3 TD|INT ratio in that time frame. In a pivotal Week 13 matchup, the Rams travel to New Orleans to take on a depleted Saints secondary, as they try to keep their head above water in the NFC West.

Don’t worry, Puka. Haters gon’ hate.

Without CBs Marshon Lattimore (traded to Washington) and Paulson Adebo (IR), the Saints’ secondary is a shell of their former selves and simply does not have the star power to handle L.A.’s dynamic duo. The Rams also rank top five in both rushing and passing metrics within PFF’s OL/DL model, giving us reason to believe that Stafford will have all day to pick apart this defense.

Now, please bear with me for a moment.

I feel like I’ve been writing this for years, but the Saints have no idea what they’re doing as an organization.

They are consistently among the league’s worst in cap space and are projected to be $77 million over in 2025, which is $30 million higher than any other team in the league. And just when you think they have finally come to their senses, just when you think they’ve finally admitted defeat, they flip the script once again.

Despite showing their (rebuilding) hand by trading star CB Marshon Lattimore to Washington, despite making the long overdue decision to fire HC Dennis Allen (which apparently Loomis didn’t even want to do), despite having no money to work with—they still decided to extend 30-year-old Alvin Kamara, with a 2025 draft class projected to be one of the best RB groups in recent memory.

Mickey Loomis, the team’s GM and executive vice president, has been kicking the can down the road for the past three years, and there appears to be no end in sight. He continues to mortgage the future and treat this team as a contender, while they simply are not. As the longest-tenured GM in the league, you have to wonder if/when ownership will start to envision a world post-him. The decision will likely be… Looming… all offseason.

Now, I digress. I don’t care about their two-game win streak. The Saints are bad and Stafford is good. The Rams rank fourth in the league with a team-implied total of 26, and as 2.5-point favorites, Vegas is predicting this game to remain close. It feels like the touchdown pendulum should eventually swing back in favor of Kyren Williams, but as long as Kupp and Puka are healthy, Stafford holds low-end QB1 upside in the slate’s second-highest O/U on the week (49.5).

18. Drake Maye

The spotlight has been fixated on Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels all season, however, it’s becoming more and more apparent that the NFL is starting to see the potential in Drake Maye.

While he’s yet to light the world on fire, what he’s done to elevate his hodgepodge cast of skill players is nothing short of impressive. He wasn’t even supposed to play this year, but despite having the worst offensive line and receiving core in football, he has shown consistent improvement, increasing his passing grade from 56.3 in Weeks 6-9 to 70.3 in Weeks 10-12 (via PFF). This is exactly the type of growth you want to see from the league’s second-youngest QB.

Maye and the Patriots stay home this week, facing an inconsistent Colts team that currently holds a 23% chance of making the playoffs. The Colts boast an impressive secondary, but their defensive rushing metrics leave plenty of opportunity for Maye to embrace his athleticism in this matchup.

The Patriots don’t have any favorable matchups and will struggle to find efficiency through the air, but the Colts have shown vulnerability over the past month, ranking 24th in yards allowed per coverage snap, 28th in forced incompletion rate, and allowing a league-high rate of explosive plays (via PFF). The matchup doesn’t look great on paper, but Maye’s ability to extend plays with his legs should create chaos downfield and open things up for some big plays.

The Patriots have a team-implied point total of 20 (25th), and as 2.5-point home underdogs, we can once again assume this game will be put on Maye’s shoulders for some late-game heroics. Look for Maye to be running for his life, and hopefully, he will improve his average of 35.1 rushing yards/game.

21. Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson underwhelmed last week in a dream matchup against Baltimore, but there is plenty of reason for optimism for a bounce-back week in Cincinnati.

Now, nobody really likes Russell Wilson. He’s got the personality of a sloth. His ego got in the way of a great situation in Seattle, and he was thrown out of Denver like your drunk friend at a college bar. In fact, he was so disliked, that Sean Payton convinced the team to pay him $70 million to play literally anywhere else while receiving nothing in return. That has never happened before, and may not happen ever again.

I mean, what is he even talking about? None of that makes sense.

But, while I stand by everything above, we can’t deny his performance in Pittsburgh has been admirable, even with a lack of elite playmakers. The Steelers are, as always, a well-coached football team, and are an impressive 4-1 since Russ took over the reins. Mike Tomlin remains one of the most underrated coaches in the league, and is well on his way to his 18th straight season above .500. Someone give this man an actual team to contend with.

It’s hard to ever predict Russ as a QB1 given the Steelers’ run-first preferred style of play, but he has posted two QB1 performances in his five games, and with an O/U of 47.5, this game has potential for a shootout.

Since Joe Burrow went all Eminem on us, he has returned to elite form, thanks in large part to a defense that couldn’t handle my Pop Warner team. Cincinnati ranks 30th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs and 25th in EPA per pass attempt, which is why Russ is also Mike’s Start of the Week.

I’m not bullish on this take, but if Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase continue dunking highlight-reel performances on our heads, the Steelers are going to be forced into a pass-heavy game script early and often. Russ may not be the fantasy star he once was, but he’s playing solid real-life football, averaging 8.1 yards/attempt, and looking more and more likely to receive an extension in Pittsburgh this offseason.

As 2.5-point underdogs with a team-implied total of 22.5, the game script should be in Russ’s favor, and we can expect his pass attempts to rise toward the 35+ range, putting him in contention for a low-end QB1 performance this week.

Thank you, as always, for being here.

Best of luck to you and your teams this week!



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SuperFlex & 2QB Rankings for Week 13 (Fantasy Football) SuperFlex & 2QB Rankings for Week 13 (Fantasy Football) Reviewed by Admin on November 29, 2024 Rating: 5

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