
Ciao, FootClan! Welcome to Week 11 of our SuperFlex & 2QB discussion.
Our Justin Herbert “buy” window has been slammed shut in with a third consecutive QB1 performance, while Jared Goff and Daniel Jones floundered their way into high-end QB2 numbers in Week 10.
Player Highlighted | Week 10 Ranking | Week 10 Finish |
Jared Goff | 13 | 15 |
Daniel Jones | 16 | 13 |
Justin Herbert | 18 | 8 |
We can officially welcome Will Levis (and any of his remaining truthers) to the QB1 club, marking the 36th different QB1 performance we’ve seen this season:
Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Anthony Richardson, Lamar Jackson, Derek Carr, Geno Smith, CJ Stroud, Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, Kyler Murray, Sam Darnold, Daniel Jones, Kirk Cousins, Joe Burrow, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy, Malik Willis, Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, Joe Flacco, Caleb Williams, Bo Nix, Trevor Lawrence, Drake Maye, Russell Wilson, Marcus Mariota, Justin Herbert, Jameis Winston, Patrick Mahomes, Will Levis
Today we’ll identify three QBs (ranked outside the top 12) who present QB1 upside in Week 11. To reference the Ballers Week 11 QB Rankings, be sure to click the attached link, and don’t forget to check for updates before kickoff!
16. Jameis Winston
It’s rarely pretty with Jameis Winston, but he sure as hell is fun to root for.
CLUTCH
JAMEIS WINSTON led 1-6 #Browns, w/ a 115.3 PR & Cedric Tillman
as his #1 WR, to 29 points & a VICTORY over #Ravens
JOE BURROW led 4-5 #Bengals, w/ a 108.3 PR & JA’MARR CHASE
as his #1, to 34 points & a LOSS against Baltimore
Interesting. pic.twitter.com/bEF0CqppMN
— Author Jameis1of1 (@jameis1of1) November 8, 2024
Jameis reintroduced himself in Week 8 with a three-touchdown performance and win over Baltimore (QB10), but came right back to reality in Week 9 with three interceptions against the Chargers (QB21). Winston’s performances are as volatile as they come, but he’s quietly got a favorable matchup and revenge game narrative this week against New Orleans.
The Saints rank fifth in PPG to opposing QBs and are not a team I would typically target—however, this is why it’s important to dive deeper into the matchups and not focus solely on the red number next to their opponent.
The Saints’ secondary has been decimated over the past few weeks, with CB Marshon Lattimore traded to the Commanders, CB Paulson Adebo (femur) placed on IR, and CB Kool-Aid McKinstry missing the past two games with a hamstring injury. McKinstry returned to practice on a limited basis on Wednesday, but after seven straight losses and nothing to play for, the Saints shouldn’t have much motivation to get him back out on the field. Even if he is able to go, the Saints rank 28th in explosive plays allowed, and Cleveland’s offensive line ranks in the top six against New Orleans in both PFF’s passing and rushing metrics.
The Browns are 1.5-point underdogs with a 21.5 team-implied total, signifying that we should expect another pass-heavy game plan from Jameis, who has already averaged 43.5 attempts over his two games as a starter. We’ve got the volume, the injuries, the game script, and an interim head coach.
It’s time to #LetJameisCook.
“You only get one shot. Do not miss your chance to blow. This opportunity lasts once in a lifetime.” – Jameis Winston quoting Eminem after the win pic.twitter.com/BO20v7Nabp
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) October 27, 2024
Dynasty Take: Sell / Hold
This one’s probably pretty obvious. We all know what Jameis is at this point in his career, and that is a high-end backup QB. He is currently ranked as a 2025 mid-third on KeepTradeCut, so if you can find a contender in need of a QB (maybe they just lost Dak Prescott), I’d fully understand if you want to make that move.
With that said, I also see value in holding him for that price, because whenever he is on the field, he seems to provide QB2 returns (including his three-interception performance last week). He will be turning 31 in a few months, so he likely has a few years of football left in him, and will continue finding backup/mentor roles for teams in need.
Personally, if there is someone in my league who has a need at QB, I would try to package Jameis with another player (or pick) and try to move up to their second-round pick, increasing my odds of getting a usable player in return.
Whatever you choose to do, I would do so before Week 12. I like his odds of finishing as a QB2 this week, however, four of his next six games come against top-eight passing defenses, and there is a world where he loses any value he currently has, and is possibly even back on the bench.
Move him ASAP, and eat that W.
Random: #Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston is 4-12 since doing the weird “eat a W” thingy.
pic.twitter.com/j1JQGG16X5— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) September 10, 2019
17. Drake Maye
Drake Maye has all the odds stacked against him this season. With the Patriots in complete disarray, he has been handed the keys to the building and asked to save this franchise single-handedly. And honestly, he’s done a pretty good job, all things considered.
DRAKE MAYE MAGICCCCCCCCC!!!!!!!!!
: FOX pic.twitter.com/UvIB3dRi8k
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 3, 2024
He enters the league at 22 years old with PFF’s lowest-rated offensive line and receiving core, yet since taking over this team five weeks ago, he is the QB15 in PPG (excluding Justin Fields and Marcus Mariota, who each played just one game) and the Patriots have scored at least 20 points in four of his five starts. This week, the Patriots take on the Rams, and while none of the below metrics project Maye’s favor, I’m continuing to bet against the odds with the Drake.
As good teams often do, the Rams’ defense has climbed steadily back to middling relevance this season, entering the week at 19th in PPG to opposing QBs. Despite the loss of CB Tre’Davious White (who was traded to the Ravens before the deadline), they have progressively improved, even with just one secondary defender ranking in the top half in coverage (CB Darious Williams).
The Patriots have a team-implied total of just 19.5 and rank in the bottom five in both rushing and passing in PFF’s OL/DL matchups. These are all numbers I would typically avoid, however in Maye’s case, this should increase the probability of broken plays and force him to play backyard football, where he has been excelling. With an average of 44.2 yards/game on the ground, Maye is presenting a safe weekly floor, even in poor matchups.
As 4.5-point home underdogs and with a terrible run game, Maye will once again be asked to put this franchise on his shoulders. The odds of reaching QB1 status are certainly against him, but despite looking like a 12-year-old kid with a bagged lunch on his way to middle school, he is maturing quickly and has continued to impress week after week. Fresh off a big-time road victory over a far more talented Chicago team, Maye and the Patriots will look to build their recent momentum against the Rams.
REPORT: Frustrated with how practice was, #Patriots rookie QB Drake Maye asked to address the offense for the first time, coaches said yes, and Maye delivered a fiery speech, the team reacted great to it.
New England won again today.
MAYE IS A LEADER.
(Via Fox) pic.twitter.com/aSaNWBVYq2
— MLFootball (@_MLFootball) November 10, 2024
Dynasty Take: Hold / Buy
Maye was the third QB off the board in this year’s draft but was somehow put in the worst situation of the three. Despite all of the obvious obstacles in New England, he is showing all the signs of an evolving leader and fantasy star, with reports signifying he is taking ownership of the locker room. At just 22 years old, he is an obvious hold or buy for a rebuilding team, and even presents value as a contender.
According to Spotrac, the Patriots have the highest projected cap space in 2025. They have already shown their interest in signing a top WR (missing out on Calvin Ridley and Brandon Aiyuk), and with an almost guaranteed top-10 pick, we can also expect them to invest heavily into an offensive line that has already seen 10 different starters this season.
The future looks bright for Maye, and it would take more than the current value of a 2025 mid-first (according to KeepTradeCut) to get him off my team.
DRAKE MAYE IS AWESOME TO WATCH.
MAYE WAS MIC’D FOR THE WHOLE GAME ON SUNDAY.
DESPITE BEING A ROOKIE, YOU CAN TELL MAYE WAS A BORN LEADER, AND HIS TEAMMATES ADORE HIM.
New England has something very special number 10, on and off the field.
— MLFootball (@_MLFootball) November 13, 2024
23. Anthony Richardson
I was planning on writing about Matthew Stafford (20) here, but let’s take a long shot.
Sitting as the Ballers’ 23rd-ranked QB is the recently demoted, newly promoted Anthony Richardson, who—stop me if you’ve heard this before—will be the starter “for the rest of the season,” per Head Coach Shane Steichen.
Now, we all know Richardson has not been good this year. He has shown brief flashes and insane game-breaking ability, but there is also a reason he was benched for 40-year-old Joe Flacco. With that said, we should remember that he was widely regarded as one of the most raw prospects in recent memory, and it is clear now that the team should have given him some time to learn and develop. This is on you, Colts.
The last time the Colts played the Texans in Houston, Anthony Richardson was 5 for 6 passing for 50 yards on the first drive and capped it off with an 18 yard TD run.
Some people forget about the flashes. I don’t. pic.twitter.com/FiuyDNGnLv
— Colts Enjoyer (@AR5Renaissance) October 23, 2024
I’ll be the first to admit, this isn’t even a good matchup, but that’s what we get when we’re diving this deep into the QB2 range. The Jets are ninth in PPG to opposing QBs and boast two of the league’s top CBs in DJ Reed and Sauce Gardner. With that said, they are still desperately missing LB and defensive captain CJ Mosley (neck) and just allowed a dominant QB4 performance to Kyler Murray last week. Murray finished with two rushing touchdowns, one passing touchdown, and drew up the blueprint that Steichen and Co. should be following this week.
Where the Colts can win this game is in the trenches. They need to run the ball, control the clock, and not allow the Jets to get up early. Their offensive line ranks in the top-five mismatches in both PFF’s rushing and passing metrics, which should be the focal point of their game plan, and the key to success in AR returning to QB1 status.
We all believe in Steichen as an offensive-minded coach, and he needs to use Richardson’s strengths to build his confidence back up after being publicly benched. Fortunately, Michael Pittman (back) has finally begun practicing in full, which will also be a significant upgrade to this passing game and offense as a whole.
Anthony Richardson running ANGRY.
: #MIAvsIND on FOX
: https://t.co/waVpO8ZBqG pic.twitter.com/fIW0KhZfcZ
— NFL (@NFL) October 20, 2024
The Colts are 3.5-point underdogs with a team-implied point total of 20 (22nd). We haven’t seen Richardson in two weeks, so he shouldn’t need to take any more plays off, and this could be a career-defining game for the former fourth-overall pick. Although I fully understand the ranking, he has as high of an upside as anyone in the league and is one or two broken plays from being a QB1 again.
ANTHONY RICHARDSON THROWS A 60-YD BOMB
TOUCHDOWN. WOW.
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/HXcn8kfzMM
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) September 8, 2024
Dynasty Stock: Hold / Buy
If you sold low on AR, then shame on you. Unless Flacco went on another historic run (like last year with the Browns), there was always a high chance we would see him again this season. And even if we didn’t, Flacco is not the long-term plan, and being on year three of his rookie contract, AR will absolutely be the starter in 2025.
Richardson is currently at the lowest value of his entire career, sitting at QB22 on KTC. This is the equivalent of somewhere between a late 2025 first and early 2025 second. This is a far cry from the QB6 ranking he entered the year with and represents a screaming value to buy if the current manager is looking to get out.
I personally am lowering my expectations of Richardson as a long-term prospect. This situation is presenting “Trey Lance” vibes, but for fantasy purposes, he is a starting QB with enormous rushing upside, and we’ve already seen him succeed at high levels. Given this upcoming year’s (slightly) questionable QB class, the current price is very reasonable for someone who still has two years on his rookie contract.
#Colts QB Anthony Richardson on HC Shane Steichen saying he’ll start for the rest of the season:
“But it’s up to me to keep my job. I gotta make sure I’m doing the right thing and keep showcasing to Shane that I can be the guy and I am the guy for this team. …” pic.twitter.com/gxcyzUmHxv
— James Boyd (@RomeovilleKid) November 13, 2024
from Fantasy Footballers Podcast https://ift.tt/vjUwesu

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