
Ciao, FootClan! Welcome to Week 7 of our SuperFlex & 2QB discussion.
After a stellar Week 5, we were humbled back to reality in Week 6, reminding us of the importance of going with your gut and starting your studs. We were also reminded of the importance of game script (which we will always discuss), as Kirk Cousins finished as QB22 on the week despite his team putting up 38 points. Thanks a lot, Bijan Robinson. This is what makes fantasy football so unpredictable, and with six games carrying an over/under above 47.5, we appear to be in store for an electrifying Week 7.
Player Highlighted | Week 6 Ranking | Week 6 Finish |
Kirk Cousins | 13 | 22 |
Jared Goff | 14 | 4 |
Daniel Jones | 18 | 23 |
With the addition of Drake Maye in his first NFL start, we have now reached 30 different QB1s through the first quarter of the season:
Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Anthony Richardson, Lamar Jackson, Derek Carr, Geno Smith, CJ Stroud, Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, Kyler Murray, Sam Darnold, Daniel Jones, Kirk Cousins, Joe Burrow, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy, Malik Willis, Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, Joe Flacco, Caleb Williams, Bo Nix, Trevor Lawrence, and Drake Maye.
Today we’ll identify three more QBs (ranked outside the Ballers’ top 12) who display QB1 upside in Week 7. To reference the Ballers Week 7 QB Rankings, be sure to click here!
13. Jared Goff
I’d like to once again shout out to Jared Goff, who should have everyone’s respect after an absolutely dominant showing against America’s team. Goff came through with a QB4 overall finish last week and presents similar upside once again in Week 7.
The #Lions tried a hook-and-ladder to Penei Sewell. The level of disrespect
pic.twitter.com/H7K8PwwB9V
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) October 13, 2024
This week’s matchup at Minnesota is not nearly as juicy, with Brian Flores’ defensive unit playing as stout as they ever have, but the Lions continue to play excellent football in all three phases of the game and currently rank first overall with an average of 30.2 PPG. Although the Lions’ elite pairing of RBs and offensive line has led the way for most of the season, Goff is still QB11 in PPG, and I’m always happy to chase points from the NFL’s highest-scoring teams.
Yes, the Vikings have been a defense to avoid this season – ranking in the top nine against both QBs (ninth) and RBs (second) in fantasy PPG – but as is tradition this time of year, they have a troublesome injury report as of Wednesday afternoon.
Star LB Blake Cashman (PFF’s 15th-ranked) appears unlikely to play with turf toe, while DT Harrison Phillips (PFF’s 30th-ranked) and LB Patrick Jones II were both listed as DNP on Wednesday and limited on Thursday. Losing either Phillips or Jones (who leads the Vikings in sacks) would be a significant blow to the Vikings’ defensive line and the defense as a whole.
Goff is currently ranked first via PlayerProfiler’s accuracy rating, as well as second in red zone accuracy rating and second in true passer rating. The point is, give Goff time in the pocket, and he excels. These statuses will be worth monitoring through the weekend, but PFF’s OL/DL model already has the Lions favored in the top three in both rushing and passing metrics.
Jared Goff over his last 3 games:
82% completion rate
12.2 yards per attempt
7 TDs
1 INT pic.twitter.com/fdiJRZLBiG— Jared Smola (@SmolaDS) October 18, 2024
Although this defense has been intimidating, they appear to be entering Week 7 a little more banged up than usual. With a 50.5 O/U, we’re expecting another high-scoring game for the Lions, however this week, despite a team-implied total of 24.5 (ninth), they are finally +1.5 underdogs. For fantasy purposes, this leads us to believe that Goff may see more pass attempts than usual if the Lions are playing catch-up late in this game.
Goff doesn’t have the rushing floor that many other QBs have, but leading the highest-powered offense in the league has its benefits, and that brings QB1 upside on a weekly basis.
Jared Goff’s ball fake was so elite it fooled a defender into committing one of the latest hits you’ll ever see. pic.twitter.com/9kUs8dUm20
— Football’s Greatest Moments (@FBGreatMoments) August 29, 2024
14. Andy Dalton
Although he came out piping hot in Week 3, the Red Rifle has been slowly simmering over the past month, back to the average-at-best QB we all know and love. While his performances would never be relevant in standard leagues, Dalton has actually been serviceable for our discussion, coming in as QB19 in that span, out-scoring the likes of true fantasy starters like Kyler Murray and Deshaun Watson.
Andy Dalton showing Bryce Young that you’re supposed to throw to YOUR team instead of the other team: pic.twitter.com/teOvDjGxEs
— Sleeper (@SleeperHQ) September 22, 2024
In Week 7, Carolina takes on a surprising 4-2 Commanders team that leads the NFC East, thanks to Jayden Daniels becoming the first player in NFL history to surpass 1,400 passing yards and 300 rushing yards through his first six games. It’s been an MVP-caliber campaign for the rookie thus far, which is saying a lot.
While Daniels has electrified this offense, the defense in Washington remains a problem and is one of the best targets in fantasy this week. Through the first six weeks, the Commanders rank 27th in PPG to opposing QBs, 20th in PPG to RBs, and just lost DT Jonathan Allen to a season-ending pectoral injury. They currently have a lengthy injury report (as of Thursday afternoon), with several limited players and a DNP for edge defender Dorance Armstrong (ribs), who is currently ranked ninth of 108 qualified players in pass rush grade. If Armstrong is unable to go, this would be a devastating loss to an already struggling defensive line. Even with Armstrong projected to play, PFF’s OL/DL matchup tool has Carolina’s seventh-ranked offensive line ranked in the top three mismatches in both its passing and rushing models.
While nothing can truly prepare you for what will play out on Sunday, recognizing offensive and defensive line matchups is one of the most underrated tools that the average fantasy player doesn’t use to their advantage. A stout defensive line (like the pre-Hutchinson Lions) can destroy and disrupt an offensive game plan, and it won’t matter how open a WR is if the QB has no time to get him the ball. While Carolina’s WR core is nothing to write home about, Dalton should have all day to pepper Diontae Johnson and Xavier Legette in favorable matchups and game script.
Although the Panthers have just a 21.5 (19th) team-implied point total, they are currently 8.5-point underdogs, which projects enormous volume for Dalton. With the highest O/U on the slate and a defense that has allowed 30+ points in five of six games, the Panthers will need to rely on the arm of Andy Dalton to keep them from being embarrassed at home, again.
Assuming the game script plays out how Vegas is predicting, Dalton should exceed his average of 35.8 pass attempts/game, and against a Washington defense ranking 31st in explosive pass plays allowed rate (16.8%), he certainly presents low-end QB1 upside in this battle.
*Diontae Johnson has not practiced with the team on Wednesday or Thursday. At this moment, we are projecting him to play, however, if he is unable to go (because of injury or trade), then we will likely be knocking down Dalton to the much lower end of the QB2 discussion.
Diontae Johnson is who we drafted him to be…after Andy Dalton took over.
– 55 targets (#3)
– 11 Red Zone Targets (#2)
– 18.3 FPPG since Week 3 (Andy’s takeover)Are you going to #KeepPounding with Diontae or are you trying to sell high??pic.twitter.com/J3KqFCgLnj
— PlayerProfiler NFL (@Profiler_NFL) October 17, 2024
17. Drake Maye
As a Patriots fan, I’m excited to finally talk about Drake Maye.
Here we go… Drake Maye with a perfect deep ball to Kayshon Boutte for a 40-yard TD, the first of Maye’s career.
A glimpse into why he was the No. 3 pick: pic.twitter.com/TIftdls1oH
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) October 13, 2024
Before we begin, I truthfully believe he should still be sitting. I think the team should have stuck to their guns and let him take the Jordan Love route like they had been hinting at all offseason.
I think there is a ton of risk baked in for a team with the league’s worst offensive line, very few offensive difference-makers, and zero playoff hopes this season. However, I am just a lowly fantasy football writer behind a laptop and not an NFL head coach. Therefore, I’m putting my faith in Jerod Mayo to make the best decisions for the future of the team, and that is what brings us here today.
For what it’s worth, I also didn’t like the idea of Maye’s first NFL start being against an ascending Houston defense, but despite an ugly interception on his third career pass, I am very encouraged by his real-life and (QB10) fantasy performance last week, finishing ahead of Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, and CJ Stroud.
This week, the Patriots travel to Jacksonville in what projects to be an epic battle for the 2025 number-one pick. The Jaguars’ defense ranks dead last in PPG to fantasy QBs this season and they just traded away starting DL Roy Robertson-Harris to the Seahawks. They currently rank bottom eight in quarterback pressure rate (28.7%), catch rate allowed (75.4%), explosive pass plays allowed (16.2%), and just gave up four touchdowns and the QB1 overall finish to fellow rookie Caleb Williams last week.
Unfortunately for Patriots fans (and my argument here), despite these embarrassingly low metrics, PFF’s OL/DL model still favors Jacksonville in both its rushing and passing model. That just shows you how bad the Patriots are. However, if we’re looking at this with a glass-half-full mentality – like we are with everyone projected in the QB2 range – this could and should lead to more scrambling opportunities for an underrated rusher like Maye, who low-key (as the kids say) led the team in rushing yards with 38 yards on six carries.
Now, if you’re unfamiliar with Drake Maye’s game, we’re gonna dive in a bit deeper into his dynasty value.
The average fantasy player is likely out on Maye due to his landing spot, but if you’ve been playing dynasty or watching college football the past few years, you’re likely already aware of his upside.
This is a player who broke out in college as a sophomore, posting a top-five PFF passing grade while simultaneously leading his team in rushing yards. This is a player who hits all of the dynasty prospect prerequisites, including breakout age, being an early declare, and receiving top-three draft capital. This is a player that NFL scouts ranked above Bryce Young, CJ Stroud, Anthony Richardson, and more – even before the 2023 draft.
This is a player who both the Vikings and Giants tried to trade up for before “settling” with their respective picks this year. This player is admittedly raw but carries a ton of upside as both a professional player and a (long-term) fantasy prospect. If you’re only now being introduced to him, he is someone you should be monitoring closely, and despite the lack of skill players around him, may still hold solid QB2 numbers for the rest of the season.
Assuming he remains the guy in New England, there is going to be high variance in his performances. He’s got no protection from an ever-rotating offensive line, and despite being the third QB selected, was somehow still handed the worst situation in the draft. There’s a lot not to like there.
But perhaps he can build on last week’s performance in a much better matchup. Perhaps he is THAT DUDE who can elevate the players around him – like Pop Douglas, for instance, who finished as the WR10 with six receptions for 92 yards and a touchdown last week. Perhaps he can continue to expose a Jaguars secondary whose own players are admitting that they’re quitting mid-game. Perhaps the Patriots, who have the most cap space in the league, make a move at the trade deadline for a young stud at WR (remember, they were very much in on Calvin Ridley and Brandon Aiyuk).
Drake Maye has found his guy
pic.twitter.com/6267hsNehW
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) October 16, 2024
He is admittedly a high-risk, high-reward play in Week 7, but the matchup is there, and he’s got a ground game that most aren’t familiar with yet. Even with a lowly 18.5 team-implied point total, there is QB1 potential yet again this week, and I hope to heck it works out for him.
I think Justin Timberlake said it best:
It’s gonna be Maye.
Drake Maye – Week 6 BEST Highlights:
Patriots got their guy. pic.twitter.com/gr935vYYpZ
— SCOUTD (@scoutdnfl) October 13, 2024
from Fantasy Footballers Podcast https://ift.tt/vlwtLa2

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